Steven Krivit’s long-awaited report will soon be on your screen. There is little tension in its expectation as we can probably guess what he will have to say. With three dozen appendices, I expect it to include much detail – a technical mountain built from straw data. It cannot be dismissed at this point because he may deliver some bomb that no-one yet knows of. It will have to do just that to be of note.
If we get the long version of what he has already said, then we will learn little. Before his last report, we did not have enough information to count as proof and his subsequent analysis of non-proof left us exactly where we had been standing – waiting for the 1MW demo.
In preannouncing the report, he will likely get the rush he hopes for. We can probably guess the outcome for many: Those who believe already will think it a put-up job and those who think Rossi a fraud will feel vindicated. While I am ever hopeful for a successful 1MW launch, I am truly open to persuasion and if Krivit has the goods I will post it as such. Right now, I am more wary of his motives than I am of Rossi’s. It does not help when the last sentence of his announcement is this:
Last, I am deeply appreciative of the experts in the nuclear fission industry, who work with steam day in and day out, who followed this story with interest and who have contributed their knowledge and experience to this investigation.
There are a lot of people eager to make this thing go away and it seems an important subset working on those three dozen appendices are fission experts. On the one hand, they should have the skills to make the best of poor data and on the other, in 1989 the people best deemed fit to judge Pons & Fleischmann belonged to the same broad church.
To impress, the report will have to be more than an expanded version of: “Looking at the video, we conclude that…”
If it is more, we might have a sensation on our hands and if not, you have to wonder what Krivit’s real motive is.
I lied – the tension is building.<< Previous Post -- -- Next post >>